Diamonds: why it’s a good time to invest
This week the global gem-mining giant De Beers Group revealed that the world’s diamond supplies are running out. Despite recent economic hardships, the choice to invest in diamonds now may be a wise one.
According to the mining company, diamond mines are getting scarce and will eventually become history. De Beers has decided to reduce its production in order to extend the life of the mines.
The depletion in diamond mines will have a direct impact on the prices of stones. Diamond analyst at Royal Bank of Canada Capital Markets, Des Kilalea, explained that owing to the moderated output, diamond prices could rise by at least 5 percent every year for the next five years.
De Beers is responsible for 40 percent of global diamond sales, but this figure is now likely to decline. The company had an astonishing record of producing 48 million carats per annum, but will now reduce their diamond production to 40 million in 2011.
Global Trends in Diamond Demand
There is debate whether the diamond industry is a manufacturing, natural resource, or a consumer industry. Many factors contribute to the rise and fall of diamond production and purchase which can be reviewed as global demand trends.
According to the IDEX Online Polished Diamond Price Index, average day-to-day polished diamond prices have remained steady for the last eight consecutive months, rising a mere 0.1 percent in November month-over-month. The IDEX Online Diamond Price Index is a real-time index constituted from actual asking prices in the global diamond industry: it therefore objectively reflects price trends as they occur.
Whilst rough diamond prices are higher, consumer demand for diamonds and diamond jewellery has been tenuous for over the past year which has kept polished diamond prices low. Year-over-year prices have dipped for polished diamonds for the past eleven months and prices remain 10.1 percent below last year’s average.
Recessions come and go; a Diamond is Forever
This time last year the sparkle of a diamond really did dull, in economic value terms. The global impact of the recession had hit the luxury sectors hard, leading ultimately for a loss in purchases and demands of diamonds, both rough and polished.
Figures for last year revealed astonishing losses. As obtained from Gem Diamonds, a London-listed miner, the average price per carat of a rough diamond fell from about $2,500 to $1,400. The panic was apparent when news broke of a meeting between DeBeers and Alrosal, the Russian mining group, in the diamond capital of the world, Antwerp, to attempt to tackle the falling prices. All eyes were turned towards America, who ordinarily account for half of all of the diamonds consumed around the world. December 2008 showed a 20% drop in sales around the Holiday season in America, as well as figures slumping globally.


